The latest forecast by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has allayed the fears of a cyclonic condition in the state, as the cyclone ‘Ockhi’ has recurved and set its course towards north after crossing Lakshadweep on Sunday. It is expected to make a landfall in Maharashtra and south Gujarat in the next 24 hours.
The rise in the sea level between 4.3 metres and 6 metres in length witnessed on Sunday and Monday seems to have raised fears among people about a possible cyclonic condition in the state.
A cyclonic bulletin issued by the IMD stated that “the very severe cyclonic storm Ockhi that lay centred over east-central Arabian Sea, about 590 km southwest of Mumbai and 770 km south-southwest of Surat, is very likely to move north-northwestward during next few hours and then move to north eastwards and weaken gradually.” It is very likely to “weaken gradually and cross south Gujarat and adjoining north Maharashtra coasts near Surat as a deep depression” by Tuesday night, an IMD release said.
Although the cyclone continues to track parallel to the west coast without making a landfall, weather system, including strong winds and heavy rains will impact Gujarat, north Konkan including Mumbai.
Meanwhile, the Indian national centre for ocean information services, a wing of the Earth System Science Organisation, Ministry of Earth Sciences, has issued a storm surge alert for the state showing reduction in the intensity of waves.
“High waves in the range of 2.5-3.2 metres are forecast till Tuesday 11.30 pm, along the coast of Goa from Vengurla to Vasco with the current speeds varying between 39 – 95 cm/sec,” it reads further.
Low-lying areas could be pounded by a storm surge that could reach 3.5 metres, which is measured from the sea level. “There is a possibility that low-lying areas may witness a surge intermittently at Mormugao, Panaji, Vasco because of the combined effect of swell waves and spring tide,” states the alert.
The alert further says that in north Goa forecast, highest wave into the ocean upto ten kilometres off Goa will be around 2.30 pm wherein it would be 3.3 metres of wave height with 1.9 metre of swell height. In South Goa forecast, highest wave will also be around 2.30 pm. It would be 3 metres of wave height with 2.1 metres of swell height.
The IMD has issued an alert on Monday, warning fishermen against venturing into the sea, as the coastal areas are likely to experience strong winds. It also issued a rain and thundershower warning for isolated places in the next 24 hours owing to the cyclonic storm ‘Ockhi.’